上期回顾:周日彩头奖开出30余万,曼城客场输球是当期头号大冷。必发数据中,曼城录得高达95%的大热成交比例,而以曼城历年来的客场表现来看,如此热度是缺乏合理性的,只是在填单过程中,这场心理冷门的捕捉难度还是偏大。其余冷门场次不多,相对最具杀伤力的是贝蒂斯主场输球。这场比赛的冷门其实比较清晰,主队大热是在所难免的,毕竟两队形象、状态都存在极大差距,但对应主胜成交赔率居然高达1.92,足以表露出卖家对主胜丝毫没有担心。另外塞维利亚客场不胜也在情理之中,高达八成的客胜成交比例也表露出这场热度的不合理性。
往期回顾:《胜负彩13114期必发指数分析:热刺走两头更保险》
本轮异常提示:周二彩日职场次的成交市场比较冷清,欧冠却早早呈现出火热的成交状况。阿森纳VS费内巴切是一场大热比赛,但毕竟枪手已经三球优势在手,大热下打出冷平并不算意外。客场作战的萨格勒、沙尔克与比尔森都是高赔,萨格勒首轮输球,客胜依然受到热捧,显然赢球难度不小。沙尔克开局一场不胜,但玩家对其反弹期望值依然很高,看来矿工尚未到反弹时机。至于比尔森,高达94%的成交比例明显过热,但对应负赔却有2.20,同样是客胜难期。至于社会VS里昂,客队需客场争胜翻盘,但此役客胜仅有零星成交,本场存在打出心理冷门的可能性。(盛亦发)
超级必发指数,由SPDEX.com必发指数网提供
| 序 | 主队 | VS | 客队 | 买家挂牌 | 买家比例 | 卖家挂牌 | 卖家比例 | 成交总额 | 成交比例 | 赔率 | 必发指数 | 过滤大单 | 864 |
| 1 | 仙 台 | VS | 樱 花 | $0 | 0% | $25 | 34% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 310 | 310 |
| $27 | 100% | $24 | 32% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| $0 | 0% | $25 | 34% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| 2 | 横 滨 | VS | 浦 和 | $0 | 0% | $208 | 81% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 310 | 310 |
| $27 | 100% | $24 | 9% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| $0 | 0% | $25 | 10% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| 3 | 阿森纳 | VS | 费内巴 | $1,541 | 57% | $929 | 40% | $159,130 | 97% | 1.4 | 87 | 31 | 3 |
| $329 | 12% | $407 | 18% | $3,433 | 2% | 5.1 | 7 | ||||||
| $830 | 31% | $972 | 42% | $1,526 | 1% | 10.5 | 6 | ||||||
| 4 | 巴塞尔 | VS | 卢多戈 | $3,431 | 80% | $1,669 | 73% | $5,389 | 97% | 1.54 | 85 | 31 | 31 |
| $560 | 13% | $571 | 25% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| $306 | 7% | $46 | 2% | $186 | 3% | 7.8 | 15 | ||||||
| 5 | 维也纳 | VS | 萨格勒 | $2,044 | 64% | $1,007 | 48% | $32,141 | 27% | 2.58 | 25 | 130 | 13 |
| $117 | 4% | $796 | 38% | $3,284 | 3% | 3.6 | 3 | ||||||
| $1,038 | 32% | $304 | 14% | $81,522 | 70% | 2.96 | 72 | ||||||
| 6 | 华 沙 | VS | 布加勒 | $1,701 | 10% | $2,303 | 53% | $44,599 | 63% | 2.42 | 55 | 103 | 13 |
| $566 | 3% | $930 | 21% | $1,670 | 2% | 3.55 | 3 | ||||||
| $14,568 | 87% | $1,110 | 26% | $24,621 | 35% | 3.3 | 42 | ||||||
| 7 | 塞萨洛 | VS | 沙尔克 | $43 | 1% | $1,017 | 47% | $1,607 | 12% | 3.35 | 16 | 130 | 13 |
| $121 | 2% | $124 | 6% | $436 | 3% | 3.5 | 4 | ||||||
| $7,570 | 98% | $1,035 | 48% | $11,424 | 85% | 2.38 | 80 | ||||||
| 8 | 泽尼特 | VS | 费雷拉 | $2,829 | 77% | $15,545 | 96% | $117,139 | 100% | 1.3 | 97 | 3 | 3 |
| $635 | 17% | $49 | 0% | $173 | 0% | 6.4 | 1 | ||||||
| $220 | 6% | $664 | 4% | $336 | 0% | 13 | 3 | ||||||
| 9 | AC米兰 | VS | 埃因霍 | $4,384 | 73% | $3,505 | 98% | $59,621 | 77% | 1.7 | 54 | 31 | 3 |
| $996 | 17% | $29 | 1% | $7,268 | 9% | 3.95 | 15 | ||||||
| $602 | 10% | $31 | 1% | $10,340 | 13% | 5.6 | 31 | ||||||
| 10 | 凯尔特 | VS | 卡矿工 | $6,500 | 78% | $8,477 | 88% | $41,017 | 94% | 1.24 | 53 | 3 | 3 |
| $1,224 | 15% | $956 | 10% | $326 | 1% | 6.4 | 2 | ||||||
| $602 | 7% | $183 | 2% | $2,416 | 6% | 17.5 | 44 | ||||||
| 11 | 马里博 | VS | 比尔森 | $1,142 | 59% | $986 | 38% | $694 | 5% | 3.6 | 8 | 310 | 310 |
| $60 | 3% | $986 | 38% | $174 | 1% | 3.7 | 2 | ||||||
| $726 | 38% | $633 | 24% | $12,916 | 94% | 2.2 | 90 | ||||||
| 12 | 社 会 | VS | 里 昂 | $751 | 25% | $831 | 39% | $10,659 | 74% | 2.02 | 59 | 30 | 30 |
| $1,110 | 37% | $282 | 13% | $3,296 | 23% | 4 | 36 | ||||||
| $1,110 | 37% | $1,017 | 48% | $412 | 3% | 3.95 | 4 | ||||||
| 13 | 弗赖堡 | VS | 拜 仁 | $148 | 2% | $155 | 1% | $2,949 | 3% | 14.5 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| $428 | 6% | $276 | 2% | $2,440 | 2% | 6.6 | 9 | ||||||
| $6,787 | 92% | $11,865 | 96% | $97,524 | 95% | 1.27 | 68 | ||||||
| 14 | 巴 萨 | VS | 马竞技 | $205 | 67% | $100 | 54% | $5,793 | 71% | 1.43 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| $27 | 9% | $46 | 25% | $2,259 | 27% | 4.9 | 0 | ||||||
| $73 | 24% | $37 | 20% | $162 | 2% | 8.2 | 0 |
必发指数查看方法:成交比例是交易所较为重要的数据,比例与球队的基本面、欧赔的热门方胜率相比较,热门方比例是否合理是关键,如果让球方成交比例过热,则要注意强队爆冷;但如本应较热,但却成交比例强队反而较低,强队必是稳胆。另外,买方数据与卖方数据的对比,买家比例与卖家比例的对比,都可判断球队注码走向,判断比赛走势。交易所热量对足彩的冷门判断、选取胆材都很有帮助。

