上期回顾:上周日开出430万大奖,热刺主场输球是当期最大的冷门,而该期必发指数栏目也憾错热刺命中二等奖。热刺主场输球,在数据上并非毫无指示,作为一场伦敦德比,客胜无人问津并不合理,而热刺成交胜赔的节节走高,也是冷门的前兆。阿森纳数据则有清晰体现,客胜已录得九场以上成交比例,西布罗刚刚击败曼联这一背景却无人关注,最终两队平局收场。意甲博洛尼主场输球也有很强的冷门指示,主队开局一场不胜,但主胜热度已近八成,明显属异常热度。桑普多和拉齐奥都是客胜受到关注度很高,主队自当可不败收场。西甲的毕尔巴VS巴伦西是该期最异常的成交数据,客队形象和状态都胜过主队,但主胜热度居然高达八成以上,毕尔巴不胜也在情理之中。
本轮异常提示:本期足彩是世预赛欧洲区赛事,有多支豪门纳入本期竞猜,自然也会形成多场大热比赛。在冷门的判断上需重点观察成交赔率的高低,例如德国、俄罗斯、葡萄牙与西班牙这类超低赔,补防价值显然不大,但诸如土耳其、希腊与瑞士,甚至是英格兰,在成交赔率上明显偏高,相对而言补防价值就相对较大。难点对阵中,丹麦VS意大利是主胜偏热,这与对阵形势明显不符,毕竟意大利是欧洲豪门,受到玩家低看属异常情况。另外斯洛文VS挪威是平局大热,而平局成交赔率高达3.45,这场可直接舍弃平局。(盛亦发)
超级必发指数,由SPDEX.com必发指数网提供
| 序 | 主队 | VS | 客队 | 买家挂牌 | 买家比例 | 卖家挂牌 | 卖家比例 | 成交总额 | 成交比例 | 赔率 | 必发指数 | 过滤大单 | 432 |
| 1 | 克罗地 | VS | 比利时 | $201 | 0% | $4,724 | 56% | $69,200 | 28% | 2.46 | 22 | 310 | 310 |
| $78,938 | 100% | $369 | 4% | $127,327 | 51% | 3.4 | 55 | ||||||
| $31 | 0% | $3,401 | 40% | $53,949 | 22% | 3.3 | 23 | ||||||
| 2 | 丹 麦 | VS | 意大利 | $474 | 2% | $641 | 1% | $215,200 | 52% | 2.52 | 44 | 103 | 103 |
| $21,445 | 91% | $54,827 | 87% | $79,233 | 19% | 3.5 | 23 | ||||||
| $1,698 | 7% | $7,479 | 12% | $122,898 | 29% | 3.15 | 32 | ||||||
| 3 | 马耳他 | VS | 捷 克 | $374 | 3% | $242 | 9% | $2,900 | 2% | 14.5 | 19 | 01 | 0 |
| $692 | 5% | $48 | 2% | $2,794 | 2% | 7.8 | 9 | ||||||
| $12,296 | 92% | $2,547 | 90% | $137,126 | 96% | 1.25 | 72 | ||||||
| 4 | 德 国 | VS | 爱尔兰 | $121,991 | 99% | $507,369 | 100% | $549,731 | 99% | 1.18 | 83 | 3 | 3 |
| $32 | 0% | $280 | 0% | $1,944 | 0% | 9 | 2 | ||||||
| $897 | 1% | $116 | 0% | $4,823 | 1% | 24 | 14 | ||||||
| 5 | 瑞 典 | VS | 奥地利 | $2,692 | 28% | $3,372 | 74% | $162,609 | 79% | 1.73 | 58 | 31 | 31 |
| $3,314 | 34% | $128 | 3% | $19,638 | 10% | 3.9 | 15 | ||||||
| $3,629 | 38% | $1,031 | 23% | $22,517 | 11% | 5.9 | 27 | ||||||
| 6 | 爱沙尼 | VS | 土耳其 | $53 | 1% | $558 | 13% | $1,139 | 1% | 9.2 | 4 | 01 | 01 |
| $32 | 0% | $1,010 | 24% | $485 | 0% | 4.7 | 1 | ||||||
| $6,894 | 99% | $2,709 | 63% | $180,771 | 99% | 1.46 | 95 | ||||||
| 7 | 荷 兰 | VS | 匈牙利 | $97,737 | 96% | $8,089 | 66% | $130,817 | 94% | 1.37 | 73 | 3 | 3 |
| $2,194 | 2% | $3,135 | 26% | $3,735 | 3% | 5.5 | 8 | ||||||
| $1,487 | 1% | $1,062 | 9% | $5,296 | 4% | 10.5 | 19 | ||||||
| 8 | 阿尔巴 | VS | 瑞 士 | $53 | 10% | $2,179 | 45% | $3,023 | 1% | 5.1 | 3 | 103 | 10 |
| $59 | 11% | $849 | 17% | $1,287 | 0% | 3.6 | 1 | ||||||
| $427 | 79% | $1,834 | 38% | $260,958 | 98% | 1.86 | 96 | ||||||
| 9 | 斯洛文 | VS | 挪 威 | $1,854 | 8% | $37 | 0% | $5,812 | 10% | 2.52 | 7 | 03 | 03 |
| $18,499 | 79% | $18,698 | 92% | $53,019 | 87% | 3.45 | 90 | ||||||
| $3,072 | 13% | $1,675 | 8% | $2,029 | 3% | 3.2 | 3 | ||||||
| 10 | 卢森堡 | VS | 俄罗斯 | $93 | 1% | $495 | 0% | $459 | 0% | 29 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| $31 | 0% | $311 | 0% | $155 | 0% | 14 | 0 | ||||||
| $16,129 | 99% | $200,610 | 100% | $674,668 | 100% | 1.1 | 98 | ||||||
| 11 | 葡萄牙 | VS | 以色列 | $31,979 | 89% | $69,701 | 95% | $241,735 | 99% | 1.2 | 81 | 3 | 3 |
| $3,261 | 9% | $3,019 | 4% | $608 | 0% | 7.6 | 1 | ||||||
| $678 | 2% | $551 | 1% | $2,852 | 1% | 23 | 17 | ||||||
| 12 | 希 腊 | VS | 斯洛伐 | $37,004 | 89% | $3,979 | 42% | $108,855 | 90% | 1.56 | 74 | 310 | 31 |
| $3,686 | 9% | $1,821 | 19% | $9,194 | 8% | 4.5 | 17 | ||||||
| $1,098 | 3% | $3,566 | 38% | $2,722 | 2% | 8 | 9 | ||||||
| 13 | 英格兰 | VS | 黑 山 | $96,853 | 98% | $110,209 | 97% | $1,152,250 | 96% | 1.38 | 76 | 31 | 31 |
| $100 | 0% | $2,008 | 2% | $18,269 | 2% | 5.1 | 5 | ||||||
| $1,384 | 1% | $878 | 1% | $35,306 | 3% | 12 | 20 | ||||||
| 14 | 西班牙 | VS | 白 俄 | $210,885 | 100% | $978,180 | 100% | $282,734 | 98% | 1.07 | 52 | 3 | 3 |
| $27 | 0% | $276 | 0% | $770 | 0% | 25 | 3 | ||||||
| $157 | 0% | $460 | 0% | $3,643 | 1% | 60 | 45 |
必发指数查看方法:成交比例是交易所较为重要的数据,比例与球队的基本面、欧赔的热门方胜率相比较,热门方比例是否合理是关键,如果让球方成交比例过热,则要注意强队爆冷;但如本应较热,但却成交比例强队反而较低,强队必是稳胆。另外,买方数据与卖方数据的对比,买家比例与卖家比例的对比,都可判断球队注码走向,判断比赛走势。交易所热量对足彩的冷门判断、选取胆材都很有帮助。

